Kickabout
Round of 32 · Estadio BBVA · June 30, 2026
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
The crowd’s call — and how our model compares.
netherlands flagNetherlandsFans’ pick · 62%
morocco flagMorocco38%
Fans: NED 62%MAR 38%
Our model backs Netherlands
The crowd agrees with the model.

Netherlands are favoured

Netherlands have about a 59% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

59
16
25
NED windrawMAR win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerNEDDrawMAR
10Bet2.253.153.30
1xBet2.333.273.56
Bet3652.253.003.50
Betano2.323.153.65
Betfair2.303.003.60
BetVictor2.203.253.25
Dafabet2.143.253.75
Marathonbet2.313.243.52
Pinnacle2.323.173.63
SBO2.163.213.49
Unibet2.253.053.60
William Hill2.253.003.30

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

netherlands flag
Netherlands
4-3-3
Most likely XI
Morocco
4-2-3-1
morocco flag
1Verbruggen22Dumfries6Hecke4Dijk15Ven8Gravenberch21Jong14Reijnders18Malen19Brobbey11Gakpo1Bounou2Hakimi14Diop18Riad3Mazraoui6Bouaddi24Aynaoui10Díaz8Ounahi23Khannouss11Saibari
netherlands flagNetherlands
Form · last 3
WWD
morocco flagMorocco
Form · last 3
WWD
Head to head
NED 2 · 0 draws · 1 MAR
3 all-time meetings · last May 31, 2017
Season form compared
3.3Goals per game2.0
1.3Goals conceded / game1.0
0%Clean sheets33%
67%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Netherlands are favoured

Netherlands have about a 59% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

59
16
25
NED windrawMAR win

What's behind it

NEDFactorMAR
1980Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1877
#7World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#6
+25Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+19
+9Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-7
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2014Our rating
Everything above, combined
1889

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch