⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Estadio Banorte · June 18, 2026
uzbekistan flagUzbekistan
1–3
Full time
Colombiacolombia flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was UZB 1–3 COL.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
uzbekistan flagUzbekistan15%
colombia flagColombiaFans’ pick · 85%
Fans: UZB 15%COL 85%
Our model backs Colombia
The crowd agrees with the model.

Colombia are favoured

Colombia have about a 90% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

6
4
90
UZB windrawCOL win
⚽ Goals
A. Fayzullaev 60'
40' D. Munoz
65' L. Diaz
90' J. Campaz
uzbekistan flagUZB1–3COLcolombia flag
39%Possession61%
1.16Expected goals (xG)1.61
8Shots15
2Shots on target4
3Corners4
76%Pass accuracy86%
uzbekistan flagUzbekistan
Form · last 3
LLL
colombia flagColombia
Form · last 3
DWW
Head to head
UZB 0 · 0 draws · 1 COL
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 17, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game1.3
3.7Goals conceded / game0.3
0%Clean sheets67%
0%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Colombia are favoured

Colombia have about a 90% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

6
4
90
UZB windrawCOL win

What's behind it

UZBFactorCOL
1631Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
2004
#57World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#11
-35Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+14
+1Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-4
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1597Our rating
Everything above, combined
2014

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch