Kickabout
Group stage · Hard Rock Stadium · June 22, 2026
uruguay flagUruguay
2–2
Full time
Cape Verdecape-verde flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was URU 2–2 CPV.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
uruguay flagUruguay
cape-verde flagCape Verde
Our model backs Uruguay

Uruguay are favoured

Uruguay have about a 73% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

73
10
17
URU windrawCPV win
⚽ Goals
M. Araujo 44'
A. Canobbio 45'
21' K. Lenini
61' H. Varela
uruguay flagURU2–2CPVcape-verde flag
65%Possession35%
2.32Expected goals (xG)0.88
17Shots12
2Shots on target4
11Corners4
82%Pass accuracy74%
uruguay flagUruguay
Form · last 3
LDD
cape-verde flagCape Verde
Form · last 3
DDD
Head to head
URU 0 · 1 draw · 0 CPV
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 21, 2026
Season form compared
1.0Goals per game0.7
1.3Goals conceded / game0.7
0%Clean sheets67%
0%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Uruguay are favoured

Uruguay have about a 73% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

73
10
17
URU windrawCPV win

What's behind it

URUFactorCPV
1841Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1622
#19World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#64
-12Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-12
-10Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-9
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1819Our rating
Everything above, combined
1601

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

uruguay flagUruguay
cape-verde flagCape Verde