Kickabout
Group stage · Levi's Stadium · June 20, 2026
turkiye flagTurkiye
0–1
Full time
Paraguayparaguay flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was TUR 0–1 PAR.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
turkiye flagTurkiyeFans’ pick · 85%
paraguay flagParaguay15%
Fans: TUR 85%PAR 15%
Our model backs Turkiye
The crowd agrees with the model.

Turkiye are favoured

Turkiye have about a 44% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

44
23
32
TUR windrawPAR win
⚽ Goals
2' M. Galarza
turkiye flagTUR0–1PARparaguay flag
79%Possession21%
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.32
32Shots7
5Shots on target2
12Corners0
89%Pass accuracy54%
turkiye flagTurkiye
Form · last 3
WLL
paraguay flagParaguay
Form · last 3
DWL
Head to head
TUR 0 · 0 draws · 1 PAR
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 19, 2026
Season form compared
1.0Goals per game0.7
1.7Goals conceded / game1.3
0%Clean sheets67%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Turkiye are favoured

Turkiye have about a 44% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

44
23
32
TUR windrawPAR win

What's behind it

TURFactorPAR
1852Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1815
#27World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#37
-11Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-6
-5Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-15
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1836Our rating
Everything above, combined
1794

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

turkiye flagTurkiye
paraguay flagParaguay