⚽Kickabout
Group stage · BC Place · June 25, 2026
switzerland flagSwitzerland
2–1
Full time
Canadacanada flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was SUI 2–1 CAN.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
switzerland flagSwitzerlandFans’ pick · 65%
canada flagCanada35%
Fans: SUI 65%CAN 35%
Our model backs Switzerland
The crowd agrees with the model.

Switzerland are favoured

Switzerland have about a 59% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

59
16
25
SUI windrawCAN win
⚽ Goals
R. Vargas 46'
J. Manzambi 57'
76' P. David
switzerland flagSUI2–1CANcanada flag
55%Possession45%
1.11Expected goals (xG)1.66
6Shots13
4Shots on target7
2Corners7
83%Pass accuracy80%
switzerland flagSwitzerland
Form · last 3
WWD
canada flagCanada
Form · last 4
WLWD
Head to head
SUI 1 · 0 draws · 1 CAN
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 24, 2026
Season form compared
2.3Goals per game2.3
1.0Goals conceded / game0.8
0%Clean sheets50%
67%Win rate50%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Switzerland are favoured

Switzerland have about a 59% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

59
16
25
SUI windrawCAN win

What's behind it

SUIFactorCAN
1914Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1764
#16World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#32
+21Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+8
+2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+4
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
+40
1937Our rating
Everything above, combined
1816

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

switzerland flagSwitzerland
canada flagCanada