Kickabout
Group stage · SoFi Stadium · June 19, 2026
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was SUI 4–1 BIH.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
switzerland flagSwitzerlandFans’ pick · 76%
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina24%
Fans: SUI 76%BIH 24%
Our model backs Switzerland
The crowd agrees with the model.

Switzerland are favoured

Switzerland have about a 83% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

83
6
10
SUI windrawBIH win
⚽ Goals
J. Manzambi 74'
R. Vargas 84'
J. Manzambi 90'
G. Xhaka 90' (P)
90' E. Mahmic
switzerland flagSUI4–1BIHbosnia-and-herzegovina flag
62%Possession38%
2.06Expected goals (xG)0.23
13Shots5
7Shots on target3
7Corners3
88%Pass accuracy81%
switzerland flagSwitzerland
Form · last 3
WWD
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina
Form · last 3
WLD
Head to head
SUI 1 · 0 draws · 1 BIH
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 18, 2026
Season form compared
2.3Goals per game1.7
1.0Goals conceded / game2.0
0%Clean sheets0%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Switzerland are favoured

Switzerland have about a 83% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

83
6
10
SUI windrawBIH win

What's behind it

SUIFactorBIH
1914Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1622
#16World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#61
+21Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-4
+2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-5
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1937Our rating
Everything above, combined
1613

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

switzerland flagSwitzerland
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina