⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · June 16, 2026
spain flagSpain
0–0
Full time
Cape Verdecape-verde flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was ESP 0–0 CPV.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
spain flagSpain—
cape-verde flagCape Verde—
Our model backs Spain

Spain are favoured

Spain have about a 95% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

95
2
3
ESP windrawCPV win
spain flagESP0–0CPVcape-verde flag
74%Possession26%
2.10Expected goals (xG)0.20
27Shots6
7Shots on target1
11Corners1
92%Pass accuracy74%
spain flagSpain
Form · last 3
WWD
cape-verde flagCape Verde
Form · last 3
DDD
Head to head
ESP 0 · 1 draw · 0 CPV
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 15, 2026
Season form compared
1.7Goals per game0.7
0.0Goals conceded / game0.7
100%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Spain are favoured

Spain have about a 95% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

95
2
3
ESP windrawCPV win

What's behind it

ESPFactorCPV
2144Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1622
#3World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#64
+6Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-12
-2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-9
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2148Our rating
Everything above, combined
1601

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch