⚽Kickabout
⌕
Round of 32 · SoFi Stadium · July 3, 2026
spain flagSpain
vs
Austriaaustria flag
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
The crowd’s call — and how our model compares.
spain flagSpainFans’ pick · 92%
austria flagAustria8%
Fans: ESP 92%AUT 8%
Our model backs Spain
The crowd agrees with the model.

Spain are favoured

Spain have about a 82% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

82
7
11
ESP windrawAUT win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerESPDrawAUT
10Bet1.295.0011.00
1xBet1.335.5511.70
Bet3651.305.509.50
Betano1.335.4011.50
Betfair1.255.0011.00
BetVictor1.295.0011.00
Dafabet1.295.6012.00
Marathonbet1.315.4511.50
Pinnacle1.315.5110.84
Unibet1.305.2011.50
William Hill1.305.0010.00

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

spain flag
Spain
4-3-3
Most likely XI
Austria
4-2-3-1
austria flag
23Simón5Llorente22Cubarsí14Laporte24Cucurella16Rodri10Olmo20Pedri19Yamal21Oyarzabal15Baena1Schlager5Posch15Lienhart8Alaba16Mwene6Seiwald4Schlager20Laimer18Schmid9Sabitzer7Arnautović
spain flagSpain
Form · last 3
WWD
austria flagAustria
Form · last 3
DLW
Head to head
ESP 9 · 3 draws · 4 AUT
16 all-time meetings · last Nov 18, 2009
Season form compared
1.7Goals per game2.0
0.0Goals conceded / game2.0
100%Clean sheets0%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Spain are favoured

Spain have about a 82% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

82
7
11
ESP windrawAUT win

What's behind it

ESPFactorAUT
2144Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1836
#3World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#22
+6Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-7
-2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+8
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2148Our rating
Everything above, combined
1837

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch