Kickabout
Group stage · Gillette Stadium · June 20, 2026
scotland flagScotland
0–1
Full time
Moroccomorocco flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was SCO 0–1 MAR.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
scotland flagScotland16%
morocco flagMoroccoFans’ pick · 84%
Fans: SCO 16%MAR 84%
Our model backs Morocco
The crowd agrees with the model.

Morocco are favoured

Morocco have about a 65% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

22
13
65
SCO windrawMAR win
⚽ Goals
2' I. Saibari
scotland flagSCO0–1MARmorocco flag
41%Possession59%
0.51Expected goals (xG)0.99
6Shots12
0Shots on target2
2Corners5
85%Pass accuracy90%
scotland flagScotland
Form · last 3
LLW
morocco flagMorocco
Form · last 3
WWD
Head to head
SCO 0 · 0 draws · 2 MAR
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 19, 2026
Season form compared
0.3Goals per game2.0
1.3Goals conceded / game1.0
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Morocco are favoured

Morocco have about a 65% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

22
13
65
SCO windrawMAR win

What's behind it

SCOFactorMAR
1745Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1877
#41World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#6
-13Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+19
-5Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-7
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1727Our rating
Everything above, combined
1889

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

scotland flagScotland
morocco flagMorocco