Kickabout
Group stage · Hard Rock Stadium · June 25, 2026
scotland flagScotland
0–3
Full time
Brazilbrazil flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was SCO 0–3 BRA.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
scotland flagScotland8%
brazil flagBrazilFans’ pick · 92%
Fans: SCO 8%BRA 92%
Our model backs Brazil
The crowd agrees with the model.

Brazil are favoured

Brazil have about a 83% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

11
7
83
SCO windrawBRA win
⚽ Goals
7' Vinicius Junior
45' Vinicius Junior
60' M. Cunha
scotland flagSCO0–3BRAbrazil flag
46%Possession54%
1.04Expected goals (xG)4.33
14Shots21
5Shots on target9
7Corners6
90%Pass accuracy93%
scotland flagScotland
Form · last 3
LLW
brazil flagBrazil
Form · last 3
WWD
Head to head
SCO 0 · 2 draws · 9 BRA
11 all-time meetings · last Jun 24, 2026
Season form compared
0.3Goals per game2.3
1.3Goals conceded / game0.3
33%Clean sheets67%
33%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Brazil are favoured

Brazil have about a 83% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

11
7
83
SCO windrawBRA win

What's behind it

SCOFactorBRA
1745Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
2009
#41World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#5
-13Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+25
-5Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+9
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1727Our rating
Everything above, combined
2043

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch