⚽Kickabout
Group stage · Hard Rock Stadium · June 16, 2026
saudi-arabia flagSaudi Arabia
1–1
Full time
Uruguayuruguay flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was KSA 1–1 URU.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
saudi-arabia flagSaudi Arabia15%
uruguay flagUruguayFans’ pick · 85%
Fans: KSA 15%URU 85%
Our model backs Uruguay
The crowd agrees with the model.

Uruguay are favoured

Uruguay have about a 77% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

15
9
77
KSA windrawURU win
⚽ Goals
A. Al Amri 41'
80' M. Araujo
saudi-arabia flagKSA1–1URUuruguay flag
33%Possession67%
0.66Expected goals (xG)1.72
7Shots27
3Shots on target10
4Corners14
73%Pass accuracy88%
saudi-arabia flagSaudi Arabia
Form · last 3
DLD
uruguay flagUruguay
Form · last 3
LDD
Head to head
KSA 1 · 2 draws · 1 URU
4 all-time meetings · last Jun 15, 2026
Season form compared
0.3Goals per game1.0
1.7Goals conceded / game1.3
33%Clean sheets0%
0%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Uruguay are favoured

Uruguay have about a 77% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

15
9
77
KSA windrawURU win

What's behind it

KSAFactorURU
1596Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1841
#59World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#19
-25Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-12
-4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-10
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1567Our rating
Everything above, combined
1819

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

saudi-arabia flagSaudi Arabia
uruguay flagUruguay