Kickabout
Group stage · Levi's Stadium · June 14, 2026
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1–1
Full time
Switzerlandswitzerland flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was QAT 1–1 SUI.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
qatar flagQatar12%
switzerland flagSwitzerlandFans’ pick · 88%
Fans: QAT 12%SUI 88%
Our model backs Switzerland
The crowd agrees with the model.

Switzerland are favoured

Switzerland have about a 94% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

3
2
94
QAT windrawSUI win
⚽ Goals
M. Muheim 90'
17' (P) B. Embolo
qatar flagQAT1–1SUIswitzerland flag
32%Possession68%
0.60Expected goals (xG)3.20
6Shots26
3Shots on target7
3Corners10
72%Pass accuracy91%
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Form · last 3
LLD
switzerland flagSwitzerland
Form · last 3
WWD
Head to head
QAT 1 · 1 draw · 0 SUI
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 13, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game2.3
3.3Goals conceded / game1.0
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Switzerland are favoured

Switzerland have about a 94% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

3
2
94
QAT windrawSUI win

What's behind it

QATFactorSUI
1411Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1914
#60World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#16
-33Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+21
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+2
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1398Our rating
Everything above, combined
1937

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

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switzerland flagSwitzerland