⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · NRG Stadium · June 18, 2026
portugal flagPortugal
1–1
Full time
DR Congodr-congo flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was POR 1–1 COD.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
portugal flagPortugalFans’ pick · 92%
dr-congo flagDR Congo8%
Fans: POR 92%COD 8%
Our model backs Portugal
The crowd agrees with the model.

Portugal are favoured

Portugal have about a 84% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

84
6
10
POR windrawCOD win
⚽ Goals
J. Neves 6'
45' Y. Wissa
portugal flagPOR1–1CODdr-congo flag
75%Possession25%
0.65Expected goals (xG)0.87
7Shots8
1Shots on target2
5Corners4
92%Pass accuracy78%
portugal flagPortugal
Form · last 3
DWD
dr-congo flagDR Congo
Form · last 3
WLD
Head to head
POR 0 · 1 draw · 0 COD
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 17, 2026
Season form compared
2.0Goals per game1.3
0.3Goals conceded / game1.0
67%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Portugal are favoured

Portugal have about a 84% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

84
6
10
POR windrawCOD win

What's behind it

PORFactorCOD
1990Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1712
#8World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#46
+8Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-19
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-7
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2018Our rating
Everything above, combined
1686

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch