⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Levi's Stadium · June 26, 2026
paraguay flagParaguay
0–0
Full time
Australiaaustralia flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was PAR 0–0 AUS.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
paraguay flagParaguayFans’ pick · 55%
australia flagAustralia45%
Fans: PAR 55%AUS 45%
Our model backs Paraguay
The crowd agrees with the model.

Paraguay are favoured

Paraguay have about a 37% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

37
27
36
PAR windrawAUS win
paraguay flagPAR0–0AUSaustralia flag
44%Possession56%
0.25Expected goals (xG)0.57
7Shots12
2Shots on target5
1Corners3
77%Pass accuracy82%
paraguay flagParaguay
Form · last 3
DWL
australia flagAustralia
Form · last 3
DLW
Head to head
PAR 0 · 4 draws · 2 AUS
6 all-time meetings · last Jun 25, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game0.7
1.3Goals conceded / game0.7
67%Clean sheets67%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Paraguay are favoured

Paraguay have about a 37% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

37
27
36
PAR windrawAUS win

What's behind it

PARFactorAUS
1815Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1800
#37World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#28
-6Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-2
-15Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-10
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1794Our rating
Everything above, combined
1788

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

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