⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · MetLife Stadium · June 28, 2026
panama flagPanama
0–2
Full time
Englandengland flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was PAN 0–2 ENG.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
panama flagPanama6%
england flagEnglandFans’ pick · 94%
Fans: PAN 6%ENG 94%
Our model backs England
The crowd agrees with the model.

England are favoured

England have about a 89% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

6
4
89
PAN windrawENG win
⚽ Goals
62' J. Bellingham
67' H. Kane
panama flagPAN0–2ENGengland flag
33%Possession67%
0.57Expected goals (xG)1.49
12Shots17
2Shots on target6
3Corners7
75%Pass accuracy89%
panama flagPanama
Form · last 3
LLL
england flagEngland
Form · last 3
WDW
Head to head
PAN 0 · 0 draws · 2 ENG
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 27, 2026
Season form compared
0.0Goals per game2.0
1.3Goals conceded / game0.7
0%Clean sheets67%
0%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

England are favoured

England have about a 89% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

6
4
89
PAN windrawENG win

What's behind it

PANFactorENG
1658Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
2038
#42World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#4
-26Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+2
+3Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+8
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1635Our rating
Everything above, combined
2048

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch