Kickabout
Group stage · BMO Field · June 24, 2026
panama flagPanama
0–1
Full time
Croatiacroatia flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was PAN 0–1 CRO.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
panama flagPanama8%
croatia flagCroatiaFans’ pick · 92%
Fans: PAN 8%CRO 92%
Our model backs Croatia
The crowd agrees with the model.

Croatia are favoured

Croatia have about a 78% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

13
8
78
PAN windrawCRO win
⚽ Goals
54' A. Budimir
panama flagPAN0–1CROcroatia flag
42%Possession58%
0.55Expected goals (xG)1.65
8Shots6
1Shots on target2
7Corners2
79%Pass accuracy84%
panama flagPanama
Form · last 3
LLL
croatia flagCroatia
Form · last 3
WWL
Head to head
PAN 0 · 0 draws · 1 CRO
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 23, 2026
Season form compared
0.0Goals per game1.7
1.3Goals conceded / game1.7
0%Clean sheets33%
0%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Croatia are favoured

Croatia have about a 78% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

13
8
78
PAN windrawCRO win

What's behind it

PANFactorCRO
1658Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1905
#42World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#13
-26Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-9
+3Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+9
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1635Our rating
Everything above, combined
1905

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

panama flagPanama
croatia flagCroatia