Kickabout
Group stage · AT&T Stadium · June 28, 2026
jordan flagJordan
1–3
Full time
Argentinaargentina flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was JOR 1–3 ARG.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
jordan flagJordan6%
argentina flagArgentinaFans’ pick · 94%
Fans: JOR 6%ARG 94%
Our model backs Argentina
The crowd agrees with the model.

Argentina are favoured

Argentina have about a 96% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

2
2
96
JOR windrawARG win
⚽ Goals
M. Tamari 55'
19' G. Lo Celso
31' (P) L. Martinez
80' L. Messi
jordan flagJOR1–3ARGargentina flag
27%Possession73%
0.74Expected goals (xG)2.14
5Shots12
1Shots on target4
2Corners6
80%Pass accuracy92%
jordan flagJordan
Form · last 3
LLL
argentina flagArgentina
Form · last 3
WWW
Head to head
JOR 0 · 0 draws · 1 ARG
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 27, 2026
Season form compared
1.0Goals per game2.7
2.7Goals conceded / game0.3
0%Clean sheets67%
0%Win rate100%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Argentina are favoured

Argentina have about a 96% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

2
2
96
JOR windrawARG win

What's behind it

JORFactorARG
1628Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
2148
#72World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#2
-28Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+18
-5Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+20
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1595Our rating
Everything above, combined
2186

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch