Kickabout
Group stage · Gillette Stadium · June 14, 2026
haiti flagHaiti
0–1
Full time
Scotlandscotland flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was HAI 0–1 SCO.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
haiti flagHaiti16%
scotland flagScotlandFans’ pick · 84%
Fans: HAI 16%SCO 84%
Our model backs Scotland
The crowd agrees with the model.

Scotland are favoured

Scotland have about a 76% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

15
9
76
HAI windrawSCO win
⚽ Goals
28' J. McGinn
haiti flagHAI0–1SCOscotland flag
54%Possession46%
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.05
15Shots9
2Shots on target2
4Corners3
85%Pass accuracy82%
haiti flagHaiti
Form · last 3
LLL
scotland flagScotland
Form · last 3
LLW
Head to head
HAI 0 · 0 draws · 1 SCO
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 13, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game0.3
2.7Goals conceded / game1.3
0%Clean sheets33%
0%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Scotland are favoured

Scotland have about a 76% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

15
9
76
HAI windrawSCO win

What's behind it

HAIFactorSCO
1517Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1745
#88World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#41
-34Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-13
-1Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-5
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1482Our rating
Everything above, combined
1727

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

haiti flagHaiti
scotland flagScotland