Kickabout
Group stage · BMO Field · June 18, 2026
ghana flagGhana
1–0
Full time
Panamapanama flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was GHA 1–0 PAN.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
ghana flagGhanaFans’ pick · 81%
panama flagPanama19%
Fans: GHA 81%PAN 19%
Our model backs Panama
The crowd is leaning the other way.

Panama are favoured

Panama have about a 50% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

30
20
50
GHA windrawPAN win
⚽ Goals
C. Yirenkyi 90'
ghana flagGHA1–0PANpanama flag
38%Possession62%
1.31Expected goals (xG)0.73
8Shots11
2Shots on target4
2Corners2
83%Pass accuracy86%
ghana flagGhana
Form · last 3
LDW
panama flagPanama
Form · last 3
LLL
Head to head
GHA 1 · 0 draws · 0 PAN
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 17, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game0.0
0.7Goals conceded / game1.3
67%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Panama are favoured

Panama have about a 50% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

30
20
50
GHA windrawPAN win

What's behind it

GHAFactorPAN
1575Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1658
#65World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#42
0Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-26
-11Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+3
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1564Our rating
Everything above, combined
1635

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

ghana flagGhana
panama flagPanama