Kickabout
Group stage · BMO Field · June 21, 2026
germany flagGermany
2–1
Full time
Ivory Coastivory-coast flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was GER 2–1 CIV.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
germany flagGermany
ivory-coast flagIvory Coast
Our model backs Germany

Germany are favoured

Germany have about a 69% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

69
12
19
GER windrawCIV win
⚽ Goals
D. Undav 68'
D. Undav 90'
30' F. Kessie
germany flagGER2–1CIVivory-coast flag
60%Possession40%
1.89Expected goals (xG)1.22
16Shots9
7Shots on target2
8Corners3
89%Pass accuracy85%
germany flagGermany
Form · last 3
LWW
ivory-coast flagIvory Coast
Form · last 3
WLW
Head to head
GER 1 · 1 draw · 0 CIV
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 20, 2026
Season form compared
3.3Goals per game1.3
1.3Goals conceded / game0.7
0%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Germany are favoured

Germany have about a 69% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

69
12
19
GER windrawCIV win

What's behind it

GERFactorCIV
1916Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1743
#12World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#30
+20Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+12
-2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-8
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1934Our rating
Everything above, combined
1747

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

germany flagGermany
ivory-coast flagIvory Coast