Kickabout
Group stage · NRG Stadium · June 15, 2026
germany flagGermany
7–1
Full time
Curacaocuracao flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was GER 7–1 CUW.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
germany flagGermanyFans’ pick · 93%
curacao flagCuracao7%
Fans: GER 93%CUW 7%
Our model backs Germany
The crowd agrees with the model.

Germany are favoured

Germany have about a 95% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

95
2
3
GER windrawCUW win
⚽ Goals
F. Nmecha 6'
N. Schlotterbeck 38'
K. Havertz 45' (P)
J. Musiala 47'
N. Brown 68'
D. Undav 78'
K. Havertz 88'
21' L. Comenencia
germany flagGER7–1CUWcuracao flag
65%Possession35%
4.22Expected goals (xG)0.41
26Shots8
12Shots on target2
8Corners1
87%Pass accuracy82%
germany flagGermany
Form · last 3
LWW
curacao flagCuracao
Form · last 3
LDL
Head to head
GER 1 · 0 draws · 0 CUW
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 14, 2026
Season form compared
3.3Goals per game0.3
1.3Goals conceded / game3.0
0%Clean sheets33%
67%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Germany are favoured

Germany have about a 95% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

95
2
3
GER windrawCUW win

What's behind it

GERFactorCUW
1916Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1438
#12World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#82
+20Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-33
-2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-11
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1934Our rating
Everything above, combined
1394

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

germany flagGermany
curacao flagCuracao