⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Gillette Stadium · June 24, 2026
england flagEngland
0–0
Full time
Ghanaghana flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was ENG 0–0 GHA.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
england flagEnglandFans’ pick · 91%
ghana flagGhana9%
Fans: ENG 91%GHA 9%
Our model backs England
The crowd agrees with the model.

England are favoured

England have about a 93% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

93
3
4
ENG windrawGHA win
england flagENG0–0GHAghana flag
79%Possession21%
1.36Expected goals (xG)0.17
19Shots2
3Shots on target1
9Corners2
93%Pass accuracy74%
england flagEngland
Form · last 3
WDW
ghana flagGhana
Form · last 3
LDW
Head to head
ENG 0 · 2 draws · 0 GHA
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 23, 2026
Season form compared
2.0Goals per game0.7
0.7Goals conceded / game0.7
67%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

England are favoured

England have about a 93% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

93
3
4
ENG windrawGHA win

What's behind it

ENGFactorGHA
2038Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1575
#4World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#65
+2Form so far
How they've played this tournament
0
+8Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-11
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2048Our rating
Everything above, combined
1564

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

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