Kickabout
Round of 32 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · July 2, 2026
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
The crowd’s call — and how our model compares.
england flagEnglandFans’ pick · 88%
dr-congo flagDR Congo12%
Fans: ENG 88%COD 12%
Our model backs England
The crowd agrees with the model.

England are favoured

England have about a 86% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

86
5
8
ENG windrawCOD win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerENGDrawCOD
10Bet1.255.1013.00
1xBet1.305.7613.20
Bet3651.275.5012.00
Betano1.335.3011.75
Betfair1.255.5015.00
BetVictor1.255.2513.00
Dafabet1.285.6012.00
Marathonbet1.285.6513.00
Pinnacle1.285.5912.45
SBO1.295.2010.00
Unibet1.245.6015.00
William Hill1.255.0011.00

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

england flag
England
4-2-3-1
Most likely XI
DR Congo
5-3-2
dr-congo flag
1Pickford25Spence2Konsa5Stones3O'Reilly8Anderson4Rice7Saka10Bellingham11Rashford9Kane1Nzau2Wan-Bissaka4Tuanzebe22Mbemba3Kapuadi26Masuaku14Sadiki8Moutoussamy7Mbuku20Wissa17Bakambu
england flagEngland
Form · last 3
WDW
dr-congo flagDR Congo
Form · last 3
WLD

England and DR Congo have no recorded all-time meetings.

Season form compared
2.0Goals per game1.3
0.7Goals conceded / game1.0
67%Clean sheets0%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

England are favoured

England have about a 86% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

86
5
8
ENG windrawCOD win

What's behind it

ENGFactorCOD
2038Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1712
#4World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#46
+2Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-19
+8Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-7
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2048Our rating
Everything above, combined
1686

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch