Kickabout
Group stage · Lumen Field · June 27, 2026
egypt flagEgypt
1–1
Full time
Iraniran flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was EGY 1–1 IRN.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
egypt flagEgyptFans’ pick · 81%
iran flagIran19%
Fans: EGY 81%IRN 19%
Our model backs Iran
The crowd is leaning the other way.

Iran are favoured

Iran have about a 39% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

35
26
39
EGY windrawIRN win
⚽ Goals
M. Saber 5'
11' (P) M. Taremi
14' R. Rezaeian
egypt flagEGY1–1IRNiran flag
61%Possession39%
0.81Expected goals (xG)1.83
15Shots12
3Shots on target4
8Corners2
87%Pass accuracy77%
egypt flagEgypt
Form · last 3
DWD
iran flagIran
Form · last 3
DDD
Head to head
EGY 0 · 2 draws · 0 IRN
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 26, 2026
Season form compared
1.7Goals per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded / game1.0
0%Clean sheets33%
33%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Iran are favoured

Iran have about a 39% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

35
26
39
EGY windrawIRN win

What's behind it

EGYFactorIRN
1742Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1764
#26World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#21
+2Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-12
+3Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+9
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1747Our rating
Everything above, combined
1761

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch