⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · June 28, 2026
dr-congo flagDR Congo
3–1
Full time
Uzbekistanuzbekistan flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was COD 3–1 UZB.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
dr-congo flagDR CongoFans’ pick · 78%
uzbekistan flagUzbekistan22%
Fans: COD 78%UZB 22%
Our model backs DR Congo
The crowd agrees with the model.

DR Congo are favoured

DR Congo have about a 53% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

53
19
28
COD windrawUZB win
⚽ Goals
Y. Wissa 68' (P)
F. Mayele 78'
Y. Wissa 90'
10' E. Shomurodov
dr-congo flagCOD3–1UZBuzbekistan flag
58%Possession42%
2.35Expected goals (xG)0.27
19Shots4
4Shots on target1
2Corners4
82%Pass accuracy76%
dr-congo flagDR Congo
Form · last 3
WLD
uzbekistan flagUzbekistan
Form · last 3
LLL
Head to head
COD 1 · 0 draws · 0 UZB
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 27, 2026
Season form compared
1.3Goals per game0.7
1.0Goals conceded / game3.7
0%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

DR Congo are favoured

DR Congo have about a 53% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

53
19
28
COD windrawUZB win

What's behind it

CODFactorUZB
1712Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1631
#46World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#57
-19Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-35
-7Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+1
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1686Our rating
Everything above, combined
1597

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch