Kickabout
Group stage · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · June 19, 2026
czechia flagCzechia
1–1
Full time
South Africasouth-africa flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CZE 1–1 RSA.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
czechia flagCzechiaFans’ pick · 84%
south-africa flagSouth Africa16%
Fans: CZE 84%RSA 16%
Our model backs Czechia
The crowd agrees with the model.

Czechia are favoured

Czechia have about a 56% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

56
17
26
CZE windrawRSA win
⚽ Goals
M. Sadilek 6'
83' (P) T. Mokoena
czechia flagCZE1–1RSAsouth-africa flag
38%Possession62%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.38
14Shots17
3Shots on target4
5Corners5
80%Pass accuracy90%
czechia flagCzechia
Form · last 3
LDL
south-africa flagSouth Africa
Form · last 4
LWDL
Head to head
CZE 0 · 2 draws · 0 RSA
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 18, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game0.5
2.0Goals conceded / game1.0
0%Clean sheets25%
0%Win rate25%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Czechia are favoured

Czechia have about a 56% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

56
17
26
CZE windrawRSA win

What's behind it

CZEFactorRSA
1680Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1559
#48World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#54
-25Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-4
-4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-12
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1651Our rating
Everything above, combined
1543

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

czechia flagCzechia
south-africa flagSouth Africa