Kickabout
Group stage · Estadio Banorte · June 25, 2026
czechia flagCzechia
0–3
Full time
Mexicomexico flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CZE 0–3 MEX.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
czechia flagCzechia16%
mexico flagMexicoFans’ pick · 84%
Fans: CZE 16%MEX 84%
Our model backs Mexico
The crowd agrees with the model.

Mexico are favoured

Mexico have about a 84% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

10
6
84
CZE windrawMEX win
⚽ Goals
55' M. Chavez Garcia
61' J. Quinones
90' A. Fidalgo
czechia flagCZE0–3MEXmexico flag
52%Possession48%
0.47Expected goals (xG)1.79
13Shots11
1Shots on target5
5Corners1
83%Pass accuracy85%
czechia flagCzechia
Form · last 3
LDL
mexico flagMexico
Form · last 3
WWW
Head to head
CZE 1 · 0 draws · 1 MEX
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 24, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game2.0
2.0Goals conceded / game0.0
0%Clean sheets100%
0%Win rate100%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Mexico are favoured

Mexico have about a 84% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

10
6
84
CZE windrawMEX win

What's behind it

CZEFactorMEX
1680Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1912
#48World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#9
-25Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+35
-4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
0
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
+40
1651Our rating
Everything above, combined
1987

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch