⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Lincoln Financial Field · June 26, 2026
curacao flagCuracao
0–2
Full time
Ivory Coastivory-coast flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CUW 0–2 CIV.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
curacao flagCuracao—
ivory-coast flagIvory Coast—
Our model backs Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast are favoured

Ivory Coast have about a 86% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

9
6
86
CUW windrawCIV win
⚽ Goals
7' N. Pepe
64' N. Pepe
curacao flagCUW0–2CIVivory-coast flag
37%Possession63%
0.50Expected goals (xG)1.31
11Shots7
2Shots on target3
4Corners6
83%Pass accuracy89%
curacao flagCuracao
Form · last 3
LDL
ivory-coast flagIvory Coast
Form · last 3
WLW
Head to head
CUW 0 · 0 draws · 1 CIV
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 25, 2026
Season form compared
0.3Goals per game1.3
3.0Goals conceded / game0.7
33%Clean sheets67%
0%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Ivory Coast are favoured

Ivory Coast have about a 86% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

9
6
86
CUW windrawCIV win

What's behind it

CUWFactorCIV
1438Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1743
#82World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#30
-33Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+12
-11Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-8
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1394Our rating
Everything above, combined
1747

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch