Kickabout
Group stage · Lincoln Financial Field · June 28, 2026
croatia flagCroatia
2–1
Full time
Ghanaghana flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CRO 2–1 GHA.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
croatia flagCroatiaFans’ pick · 79%
ghana flagGhana21%
Fans: CRO 79%GHA 21%
Our model backs Croatia
The crowd agrees with the model.

Croatia are favoured

Croatia have about a 85% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

85
6
9
CRO windrawGHA win
⚽ Goals
P. Sucic 31'
N. Vlasic 83'
73' D. Luckassen
croatia flagCRO2–1GHAghana flag
53%Possession47%
0.46Expected goals (xG)0.73
8Shots6
4Shots on target1
3Corners2
91%Pass accuracy88%
croatia flagCroatia
Form · last 3
WWL
ghana flagGhana
Form · last 3
LDW
Head to head
CRO 1 · 0 draws · 0 GHA
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 27, 2026
Season form compared
1.7Goals per game0.7
1.7Goals conceded / game0.7
33%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Croatia are favoured

Croatia have about a 85% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

85
6
9
CRO windrawGHA win

What's behind it

CROFactorGHA
1905Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1575
#13World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#65
-9Form so far
How they've played this tournament
0
+9Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-11
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1905Our rating
Everything above, combined
1564

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch