⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Hard Rock Stadium · June 28, 2026
colombia flagColombia
0–0
Full time
Portugalportugal flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was COL 0–0 POR.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
colombia flagColombia21%
portugal flagPortugalFans’ pick · 79%
Fans: COL 21%POR 79%
Our model backs Portugal
The crowd agrees with the model.

Portugal are favoured

Portugal have about a 37% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

36
27
37
COL windrawPOR win
colombia flagCOL0–0PORportugal flag
55%Possession45%
1.63Expected goals (xG)0.69
24Shots13
6Shots on target2
5Corners2
89%Pass accuracy91%
colombia flagColombia
Form · last 3
DWW
portugal flagPortugal
Form · last 3
DWD
Head to head
COL 0 · 1 draw · 0 POR
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 27, 2026
Season form compared
1.3Goals per game2.0
0.3Goals conceded / game0.3
67%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Portugal are favoured

Portugal have about a 37% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

36
27
37
COL windrawPOR win

What's behind it

COLFactorPOR
2004Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1990
#11World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#8
+14Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+8
-4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+20
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2014Our rating
Everything above, combined
2018

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch