Kickabout
Round of 32 · Arrowhead Stadium · July 4, 2026
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
The crowd’s call — and how our model compares.
colombia flagColombiaFans’ pick · 83%
ghana flagGhana17%
Fans: COL 83%GHA 17%
Our model backs Colombia
The crowd agrees with the model.

Colombia are favoured

Colombia have about a 91% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

91
4
5
COL windrawGHA win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerCOLDrawGHA
10Bet1.503.757.40
1xBet1.554.038.25
Bet3651.503.907.50
Betano1.554.107.30
Betfair1.503.907.00
BetVictor1.503.907.00
Dafabet1.573.856.40
Marathonbet1.523.958.10
Pinnacle1.524.057.41
SBO1.593.365.00
Unibet1.523.907.50
William Hill1.503.757.00

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

colombia flag
Colombia
4-3-3
Most likely XI
Ghana
4-3-3
ghana flag
12Vargas2Muñoz23Sánchez3Lucumí17Mojica14Puerta10Rodríguez16Lerma11Arias25Suárez7Díaz16Asare26Senaya4Adjetey23Luckassen14Mensah5Partey8Sibo3Yirenkyi22Sulemana9Ayew11Semenyo
colombia flagColombia
Form · last 3
DWW
ghana flagGhana
Form · last 3
LDW

Colombia and Ghana have no recorded all-time meetings.

Season form compared
1.3Goals per game0.7
0.3Goals conceded / game0.7
67%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Colombia are favoured

Colombia have about a 91% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

91
4
5
COL windrawGHA win

What's behind it

COLFactorGHA
2004Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1575
#11World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#65
+14Form so far
How they've played this tournament
0
-4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-11
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2014Our rating
Everything above, combined
1564

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch