⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Estadio Akron · June 24, 2026
colombia flagColombia
1–0
Full time
DR Congodr-congo flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was COL 1–0 COD.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
colombia flagColombiaFans’ pick · 88%
dr-congo flagDR Congo12%
Fans: COL 88%COD 12%
Our model backs Colombia
The crowd agrees with the model.

Colombia are favoured

Colombia have about a 84% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

84
6
10
COL windrawCOD win
⚽ Goals
D. Munoz 76'
colombia flagCOL1–0CODdr-congo flag
64%Possession36%
0.98Expected goals (xG)0.37
20Shots7
9Shots on target1
5Corners4
87%Pass accuracy76%
colombia flagColombia
Form · last 3
DWW
dr-congo flagDR Congo
Form · last 3
WLD
Head to head
COL 1 · 0 draws · 0 COD
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 23, 2026
Season form compared
1.3Goals per game1.3
0.3Goals conceded / game1.0
67%Clean sheets0%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Colombia are favoured

Colombia have about a 84% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

84
6
10
COL windrawCOD win

What's behind it

COLFactorCOD
2004Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1712
#11World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#46
+14Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-19
-4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-7
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2014Our rating
Everything above, combined
1686

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch