Kickabout
Group stage · NRG Stadium · June 27, 2026
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What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CPV 0–0 KSA.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
cape-verde flagCape Verde
saudi-arabia flagSaudi Arabia
Our model backs Cape Verde

Cape Verde are favoured

Cape Verde have about a 43% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

43
24
33
CPV windrawKSA win
cape-verde flagCPV0–0KSAsaudi-arabia flag
51%Possession49%
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.40
15Shots7
2Shots on target3
4Corners2
85%Pass accuracy81%
cape-verde flagCape Verde
Form · last 3
DDD
saudi-arabia flagSaudi Arabia
Form · last 3
DLD
Head to head
CPV 0 · 1 draw · 0 KSA
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 26, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game0.3
0.7Goals conceded / game1.7
67%Clean sheets33%
0%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Cape Verde are favoured

Cape Verde have about a 43% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

43
24
33
CPV windrawKSA win

What's behind it

CPVFactorKSA
1622Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1596
#64World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#59
-12Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-25
-9Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-4
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1601Our rating
Everything above, combined
1567

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch