⚽Kickabout
Group stage · BC Place · June 19, 2026
canada flagCanada
6–0
Full time
Qatarqatar flag
Match recapCanada run riot: six past Qatar and a country dreamingRead the recap →
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CAN 6–0 QAT.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
canada flagCanadaFans’ pick · 90%
qatar flagQatar10%
Fans: CAN 90%QAT 10%
Our model backs Canada
The crowd agrees with the model.

Canada are favoured

Canada have about a 90% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

90
4
6
CAN windrawQAT win
⚽ Goals
C. Larin 16'
J. David 29'
33'
J. David 45'
N. Saliba 64'
M. Al Mannai 75'
J. David 90'
canada flagCAN6–0QATqatar flag
79%Possession21%
4.60Expected goals (xG)0.22
32Shots2
10Shots on target0
19Corners1
91%Pass accuracy64%
canada flagCanada
Form · last 4
WLWD
qatar flagQatar
Form · last 3
LLD
Head to head
CAN 2 · 0 draws · 0 QAT
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 18, 2026
Season form compared
2.3Goals per game0.7
0.8Goals conceded / game3.3
50%Clean sheets0%
50%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Canada are favoured

Canada have about a 90% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

90
4
6
CAN windrawQAT win

What's behind it

CANFactorQAT
1764Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1411
#32World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#60
+8Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-33
+4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+20
+40Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1816Our rating
Everything above, combined
1398

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

canada flagCanada
qatar flagQatar