⚽Kickabout
Group stage · BMO Field · June 13, 2026
canada flagCanada
1–1
Full time
Bosnia and Herzegovinabosnia-and-herzegovina flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was CAN 1–1 BIH.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
canada flagCanadaFans’ pick · 71%
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina29%
Fans: CAN 71%BIH 29%
Our model backs Canada
The crowd agrees with the model.

Canada are favoured

Canada have about a 71% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

71
11
18
CAN windrawBIH win
⚽ Goals
C. Larin 78'
21' J. Lukic
canada flagCAN1–1BIHbosnia-and-herzegovina flag
61%Possession39%
1.23Expected goals (xG)0.96
13Shots8
4Shots on target3
9Corners4
74%Pass accuracy63%
canada flagCanada
Form · last 4
WLWD
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina
Form · last 3
WLD
Head to head
CAN 0 · 1 draw · 0 BIH
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 12, 2026
Season form compared
2.3Goals per game1.7
0.8Goals conceded / game2.0
50%Clean sheets0%
50%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Canada are favoured

Canada have about a 71% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

71
11
18
CAN windrawBIH win

What's behind it

CANFactorBIH
1764Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1622
#32World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#61
+8Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-4
+4Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-5
+40Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1816Our rating
Everything above, combined
1613

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

canada flagCanada
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina