⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · MetLife Stadium · June 14, 2026
brazil flagBrazil
1–1
Full time
Moroccomorocco flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was BRA 1–1 MAR.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
brazil flagBrazilFans’ pick · 80%
morocco flagMorocco20%
Fans: BRA 80%MAR 20%
Our model backs Brazil
The crowd agrees with the model.

Brazil are favoured

Brazil have about a 64% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

64
14
22
BRA windrawMAR win
⚽ Goals
Vinicius Junior 32'
21' I. Saibari
brazil flagBRA1–1MARmorocco flag
51%Possession49%
1.26Expected goals (xG)1.37
12Shots14
5Shots on target3
6Corners2
87%Pass accuracy86%
brazil flagBrazil
Form · last 3
WWD
morocco flagMorocco
Form · last 3
WWD
Head to head
BRA 2 · 1 draw · 1 MAR
4 all-time meetings · last Jun 13, 2026
Season form compared
2.3Goals per game2.0
0.3Goals conceded / game1.0
67%Clean sheets33%
67%Win rate67%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Brazil are favoured

Brazil have about a 64% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

64
14
22
BRA windrawMAR win

What's behind it

BRAFactorMAR
2009Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1877
#5World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#6
+25Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+19
+9Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-7
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2043Our rating
Everything above, combined
1889

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch