⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Lincoln Financial Field · June 20, 2026
brazil flagBrazil
3–0
Full time
Haitihaiti flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was BRA 3–0 HAI.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
brazil flagBrazilFans’ pick · 92%
haiti flagHaiti8%
Fans: BRA 92%HAI 8%
Our model backs Brazil
The crowd agrees with the model.

Brazil are favoured

Brazil have about a 95% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

95
2
3
BRA windrawHAI win
⚽ Goals
M. Cunha 23'
M. Cunha 36'
Vinicius Junior 45'
brazil flagBRA3–0HAIhaiti flag
57%Possession43%
1.75Expected goals (xG)0.23
8Shots7
5Shots on target3
4Corners4
88%Pass accuracy83%
brazil flagBrazil
Form · last 3
WWD
haiti flagHaiti
Form · last 3
LLL
Head to head
BRA 4 · 0 draws · 0 HAI
4 all-time meetings · last Jun 19, 2026
Season form compared
2.3Goals per game0.7
0.3Goals conceded / game2.7
67%Clean sheets0%
67%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Brazil are favoured

Brazil have about a 95% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

95
2
3
BRA windrawHAI win

What's behind it

BRAFactorHAI
2009Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1517
#5World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#88
+25Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-34
+9Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-1
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2043Our rating
Everything above, combined
1482

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch