⚽Kickabout
Group stage · Lumen Field · June 25, 2026
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina
3–1
Full time
Qatarqatar flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was BIH 3–1 QAT.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and HerzegovinaFans’ pick · 86%
qatar flagQatar14%
Fans: BIH 86%QAT 14%
Our model backs Bosnia and Herzegovina
The crowd agrees with the model.

Bosnia and Herzegovina are favoured

Bosnia and Herzegovina have about a 72% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

72
11
17
BIH windrawQAT win
⚽ Goals
K. Alajbegovic 29'
M. Abunada 34'
E. Mahmic 80'
42' H. Al Haydos
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBIH3–1QATqatar flag
54%Possession46%
0.68Expected goals (xG)0.77
14Shots9
5Shots on target3
5Corners5
88%Pass accuracy85%
bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina
Form · last 3
WLD
qatar flagQatar
Form · last 3
LLD
Head to head
BIH 1 · 1 draw · 1 QAT
3 all-time meetings · last Jun 24, 2026
Season form compared
1.7Goals per game0.7
2.0Goals conceded / game3.3
0%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Bosnia and Herzegovina are favoured

Bosnia and Herzegovina have about a 72% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

72
11
17
BIH windrawQAT win

What's behind it

BIHFactorQAT
1622Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1411
#61World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#60
-4Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-33
-5Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+20
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1613Our rating
Everything above, combined
1398

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

bosnia-and-herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina
qatar flagQatar