⚽Kickabout
⌕
Round of 32 · Lumen Field · July 2, 2026
belgium flagBelgium
vs
Senegalsenegal flag
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
The crowd’s call — and how our model compares.
belgium flagBelgiumFans’ pick · 61%
senegal flagSenegal39%
Fans: BEL 61%SEN 39%
Our model backs Belgium
The crowd agrees with the model.

Belgium are favoured

Belgium have about a 50% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

50
20
30
BEL windrawSEN win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerBELDrawSEN
10Bet2.183.203.35
1xBet2.263.403.58
Bet3652.203.203.50
Betano2.273.253.60
Betfair2.253.203.50
BetVictor2.153.253.40
Dafabet2.153.253.75
Marathonbet2.223.343.52
Pinnacle2.243.283.54
SBO2.163.193.51
Unibet2.233.103.55
William Hill2.153.103.30

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

belgium flag
Belgium
4-3-3
Most likely XI
Senegal
4-2-3-1
senegal flag
1Courtois21Castagne4Mechele25Ngoy5Cuyper20Vanaken7Bruyne8Tielemans10Trossard9Lukaku11Doku23Diaw15Diatta4Seck19Niakhaté14Jakobs5Gueye26Gueye13Ndiaye8Camara10Mané18Sarr
belgium flagBelgium
Form · last 3
WDD
senegal flagSenegal
Form · last 3
WLL

Belgium and Senegal have no recorded all-time meetings.

Season form compared
2.0Goals per game2.7
0.7Goals conceded / game2.0
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Belgium are favoured

Belgium have about a 50% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

50
20
30
BEL windrawSEN win

What's behind it

BELFactorSEN
1884Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1842
#10World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#18
-12Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-28
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+4
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1892Our rating
Everything above, combined
1818

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch