Kickabout
Group stage · SoFi Stadium · June 22, 2026
belgium flagBelgium
0–0
Full time
Iraniran flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was BEL 0–0 IRN.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
belgium flagBelgiumFans’ pick · 91%
iran flagIran9%
Fans: BEL 91%IRN 9%
Our model backs Belgium
The crowd agrees with the model.

Belgium are favoured

Belgium have about a 60% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

60
15
24
BEL windrawIRN win
belgium flagBEL0–0IRNiran flag
70%Possession30%
1.79Expected goals (xG)0.62
23Shots7
7Shots on target3
4Corners2
86%Pass accuracy73%
belgium flagBelgium
Form · last 3
WDD
iran flagIran
Form · last 3
DDD
Head to head
BEL 0 · 1 draw · 0 IRN
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 21, 2026
Season form compared
2.0Goals per game1.0
0.7Goals conceded / game1.0
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Belgium are favoured

Belgium have about a 60% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

60
15
24
BEL windrawIRN win

What's behind it

BELFactorIRN
1884Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1764
#10World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#21
-12Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-12
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+9
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1892Our rating
Everything above, combined
1761

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

belgium flagBelgium
iran flagIran