Kickabout
Group stage · Lumen Field · June 16, 2026
belgium flagBelgium
1–1
Full time
Egyptegypt flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was BEL 1–1 EGY.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
belgium flagBelgiumFans’ pick · 86%
egypt flagEgypt14%
Fans: BEL 86%EGY 14%
Our model backs Belgium
The crowd agrees with the model.

Belgium are favoured

Belgium have about a 62% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

62
14
23
BEL windrawEGY win
⚽ Goals
M. Hany 66'
20' E. Ashour
belgium flagBEL1–1EGYegypt flag
54%Possession46%
1.35Expected goals (xG)1.08
15Shots14
3Shots on target3
2Corners7
86%Pass accuracy81%
belgium flagBelgium
Form · last 3
WDD
egypt flagEgypt
Form · last 3
DWD
Head to head
BEL 1 · 1 draw · 3 EGY
5 all-time meetings · last Jun 15, 2026
Season form compared
2.0Goals per game1.7
0.7Goals conceded / game1.0
33%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Belgium are favoured

Belgium have about a 62% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

62
14
23
BEL windrawEGY win

What's behind it

BELFactorEGY
1884Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1742
#10World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#26
-12Form so far
How they've played this tournament
+2
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+3
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1892Our rating
Everything above, combined
1747

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

belgium flagBelgium
egypt flagEgypt