Kickabout
Group stage · Levi's Stadium · June 17, 2026
austria flagAustria
3–1
Full time
Jordanjordan flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was AUT 3–1 JOR.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
austria flagAustriaFans’ pick · 90%
jordan flagJordan10%
Fans: AUT 90%JOR 10%
Our model backs Austria
The crowd agrees with the model.

Austria are favoured

Austria have about a 75% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

75
9
15
AUT windrawJOR win
⚽ Goals
R. Schmid 21'
Y. Al Arab 76'
M. Arnautovic 90' (P)
50' A. Olwan
austria flagAUT3–1JORjordan flag
63%Possession37%
1.69Expected goals (xG)1.15
11Shots11
4Shots on target4
4Corners3
84%Pass accuracy73%
austria flagAustria
Form · last 3
DLW
jordan flagJordan
Form · last 3
LLL
Head to head
AUT 1 · 0 draws · 0 JOR
1 all-time meeting · last Jun 16, 2026
Season form compared
2.0Goals per game1.0
2.0Goals conceded / game2.7
0%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate0%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Austria are favoured

Austria have about a 75% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

75
9
15
AUT windrawJOR win

What's behind it

AUTFactorJOR
1836Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1628
#22World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#72
-7Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-28
+8Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-5
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1837Our rating
Everything above, combined
1595

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

austria flagAustria
jordan flagJordan