⚽Kickabout
Group stage · BC Place · June 14, 2026
australia flagAustralia
2–0
Full time
Turkiyeturkiye flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was AUS 2–0 TUR.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
australia flagAustralia13%
turkiye flagTurkiyeFans’ pick · 87%
Fans: AUS 13%TUR 87%
Our model backs Turkiye
The crowd agrees with the model.

Turkiye are favoured

Turkiye have about a 46% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

32
23
46
AUS windrawTUR win
⚽ Goals
N. Irankunda 27'
C. Metcalfe 75'
australia flagAUS2–0TURturkiye flag
28%Possession72%
1.18Expected goals (xG)1.36
9Shots30
4Shots on target8
5Corners8
74%Pass accuracy90%
australia flagAustralia
Form · last 3
DLW
turkiye flagTurkiye
Form · last 3
WLL
Head to head
AUS 1 · 0 draws · 2 TUR
3 all-time meetings · last Jun 13, 2026
Season form compared
0.7Goals per game1.0
0.7Goals conceded / game1.7
67%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Turkiye are favoured

Turkiye have about a 46% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

32
23
46
AUS windrawTUR win

What's behind it

AUSFactorTUR
1800Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1852
#28World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#27
-2Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-11
-10Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-5
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1788Our rating
Everything above, combined
1836

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch

australia flagAustralia
turkiye flagTurkiye