⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · AT&T Stadium · June 23, 2026
argentina flagArgentina
2–0
Full time
Austriaaustria flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was ARG 2–0 AUT.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
argentina flagArgentinaFans’ pick · 91%
austria flagAustria9%
Fans: ARG 91%AUT 9%
Our model backs Argentina
The crowd agrees with the model.

Argentina are favoured

Argentina have about a 85% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

85
6
9
ARG windrawAUT win
⚽ Goals
Lionel Messi 9' (P)
L. Messi 38'
L. Messi 90'
argentina flagARG2–0AUTaustria flag
54%Possession46%
2.36Expected goals (xG)0.53
12Shots6
5Shots on target1
1Corners3
89%Pass accuracy86%
argentina flagArgentina
Form · last 3
WWW
austria flagAustria
Form · last 3
DLW
Head to head
ARG 2 · 1 draw · 0 AUT
3 all-time meetings · last Jun 22, 2026
Season form compared
2.7Goals per game2.0
0.3Goals conceded / game2.0
67%Clean sheets0%
100%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Argentina are favoured

Argentina have about a 85% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

85
6
9
ARG windrawAUT win

What's behind it

ARGFactorAUT
2148Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1836
#2World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#22
+18Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-7
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+8
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2186Our rating
Everything above, combined
1837

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch