⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Arrowhead Stadium · June 17, 2026
argentina flagArgentina
3–0
Full time
Algeriaalgeria flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was ARG 3–0 ALG.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
argentina flagArgentinaFans’ pick · 87%
algeria flagAlgeria13%
Fans: ARG 87%ALG 13%
Our model backs Argentina
The crowd agrees with the model.

Argentina are favoured

Argentina have about a 89% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

89
4
6
ARG windrawALG win
⚽ Goals
L. Messi 17'
L. Messi 60'
L. Messi 76'
argentina flagARG3–0ALGalgeria flag
48%Possession52%
1.47Expected goals (xG)0.30
10Shots7
6Shots on target0
2Corners2
90%Pass accuracy92%
argentina flagArgentina
Form · last 3
WWW
algeria flagAlgeria
Form · last 3
DWL
Head to head
ARG 2 · 0 draws · 0 ALG
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 16, 2026
Season form compared
2.7Goals per game1.7
0.3Goals conceded / game2.3
67%Clean sheets0%
100%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Argentina are favoured

Argentina have about a 89% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

89
4
6
ARG windrawALG win

What's behind it

ARGFactorALG
2148Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1785
#2World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#29
+18Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-11
+20Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+2
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2186Our rating
Everything above, combined
1776

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch