⚽Kickabout
⌕
Group stage · Arrowhead Stadium · June 28, 2026
algeria flagAlgeria
3–3
Full time
Austriaaustria flag
📌
What we said before kick-off. Our pre-match forecast is kept below for transparency — final score was ALG 3–3 AUT.
WHO FANS ARE BACKING
How the crowd called it, frozen at kick-off.
algeria flagAlgeria34%
austria flagAustriaFans’ pick · 66%
Fans: ALG 34%AUT 66%
Our model backs Austria
The crowd agrees with the model.

Austria are favoured

Austria have about a 48% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

31
21
48
ALG windrawAUT win
⚽ Goals
R. Belghali 45'
R. Mahrez 60'
R. Mahrez 90'
28' M. Arnautovic
55' M. Sabitzer
90' S. Kalajdzic
algeria flagALG3–3AUTaustria flag
65%Possession35%
1.62Expected goals (xG)1.44
12Shots10
5Shots on target3
0Corners3
94%Pass accuracy87%
algeria flagAlgeria
Form · last 3
DWL
austria flagAustria
Form · last 3
DLW
Head to head
ALG 0 · 1 draw · 1 AUT
2 all-time meetings · last Jun 27, 2026
Season form compared
1.7Goals per game2.0
2.3Goals conceded / game2.0
0%Clean sheets0%
33%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Austria are favoured

Austria have about a 48% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

31
21
48
ALG windrawAUT win

What's behind it

ALGFactorAUT
1785Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1836
#29World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#22
-11Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-7
+2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
+8
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1776Our rating
Everything above, combined
1837

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch