Kickabout
Round of 32 · Gillette Stadium · June 30, 2026
WHO DO YOU THINK WINS?
Tap your pick — see how you compare.
Fans: GER 93%PAR 7%
Our model backs Germany
Tap a side to see if you agree.

Germany are favoured

Germany have about a 62% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

62
15
23
GER windrawPAR win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerGERDrawPAR
10Bet1.334.609.75
1xBet1.425.208.55
Bet3651.335.259.00
Betano1.424.4510.75
Betfair1.335.009.50
BetVictor1.364.808.50
Dafabet1.375.208.60
Marathonbet1.405.158.50
Pinnacle1.385.159.50
SBO1.344.868.80
Unibet1.374.809.00
William Hill1.364.758.00

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

germany flag
Germany
4-2-3-1
Most likely XI
Paraguay
5-4-1
paraguay flag
1Neuer6Kimmich2Rüdiger4Tah22Raum23Nmecha5Pavlović19Sané10Musiala17Wirtz7Havertz12Gill4Cáceres2Velázquez15Gómez13Canale26Maidana10Almirón14Cubas23Galarza19Enciso21Ávalos
germany flagGermany
Form · last 3
LWW
paraguay flagParaguay
Form · last 3
DWL
Head to head
GER 1 · 1 draw · 0 PAR
2 all-time meetings · last Aug 14, 2013
Season form compared
3.3Goals per game0.7
1.3Goals conceded / game1.3
0%Clean sheets67%
67%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

Germany are favoured

Germany have about a 62% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

62
15
23
GER windrawPAR win

What's behind it

GERFactorPAR
1916Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1815
#12World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#37
+20Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-6
-2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-15
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
1934Our rating
Everything above, combined
1794

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch