Kickabout
Round of 32 · MetLife Stadium · July 1, 2026
WHO DO YOU THINK WINS?
Tap your pick — see how you compare.
Fans: FRA 93%SWE 7%
Our model backs France
Tap a side to see if you agree.

France are favoured

France have about a 89% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

89
4
6
FRA windrawSWE win

Bookmaker odds

Compare the books — best price for each result is highlighted.

BookmakerFRADrawSWE
10Bet1.285.609.40
1xBet1.296.5211.20
Bet3651.276.0011.00
Betano1.326.009.75
Betfair1.256.0012.00
BetVictor1.226.0011.50
Dafabet1.296.0010.00
Marathonbet1.276.4011.00
Pinnacle1.276.3410.85
SBO1.285.709.40
Unibet1.256.1011.50
William Hill1.255.809.50

Odds via API-Football. Shown for information — not betting advice.

No confirmed XI yet — most likely teams based on recent selection.

france flag
France
4-2-3-1
Most likely XI
Sweden
3-4-1-2
sweden flag
16Maignan5Koundé4Upamecano26Lacroix19Hernández8Tchouaméni14Rabiot7Dembélé11Olise20Doué10Mbappé1Zetterström2Lagerbielke3Lindelöf5Gudmundsson21Bernhardsson18Ayari7Bergvall24Stroud11Elanga17Gyökeres9Isak
france flagFrance
Form · last 3
WWW
sweden flagSweden
Form · last 3
DLW
Head to head
FRA 12 · 5 draws · 6 SWE
23 all-time meetings · last Nov 17, 2020
Season form compared
3.3Goals per game2.3
0.7Goals conceded / game2.3
33%Clean sheets0%
100%Win rate33%

Averages over each team’s last 3 completed matches.

France are favoured

France have about a 89% chance of winning in 90 minutes.

89
4
6
FRA windrawSWE win

What's behind it

FRAFactorSWE
2123Team rating
Elo — rises by beating strong teams
1742
#1World ranking
Official FIFA rank
#36
+18Form so far
How they've played this tournament
-2
-2Squad firepower
Goals in the squad vs the field
-12
0Home boost
Edge for the three host nations
0
2139Our rating
Everything above, combined
1728

Win probability from the Elo expected score on the adjusted rating, with a draw term that shrinks as the gap grows. A transparent heuristic — not betting advice.

Star men to watch